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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. russia. FNL

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3508, period of time : 07-09-2012 - 05-16-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.31, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.3%, draw = 26.8%, P2 = 28.9%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 41.8%, under 2.5 = 58.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

russia. FNL: Poisson and Total PDF
russia. FNL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

russia. FNL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.01, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

russia. FNL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

russia. FNL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:31:19 UTC