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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 26, period of time : 09-07-2012 - 09-05-2017


Match total

Average per match E = 3.15, variance V = 3.90, SD = 1.97, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total PDF
OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.81, variance V = 2.88, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.63, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 2.16, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.62, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 6.18, SD = 2.49, E/V = 0.07, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
09-23-2021
15:48:30 UTC