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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 32, period of time : 09-07-2012 - 03-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.38, variance V = 4.24, SD = 2.06, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 56.3%, draw = 9.4%, P2 = 34.4%, total 0 = 3.1%, over 2.5 = 59.4%, under 2.5 = 40.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total PDF
OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.94, variance V = 3.42, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.57, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 2.25, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 7.10, SD = 2.66, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

OFC. World Championship. Qualification: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
08-16-2022
05:02:24 UTC