Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 37, period of time : 11-18-2008 - 06-11-2016

Match total

Average per match E = 3.30, variance V = 6.83, SD = 2.61, E/V = 0.48, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.2%, draw = 24.3%, P2 = 32.4%, total 0 = 5.4%, over 2.5 = 48.6%, under 2.5 = 51.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.81, variance V = 3.94, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.46, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 3.92, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.38, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 8.89, SD = 2.98, E/V = 0.04, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)