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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 48, period of time : 10-17-2007 - 06-11-2016


Match total

Average per match E = 3.31, variance V = 5.58, SD = 2.36, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 45.8%, draw = 22.9%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 4.2%, over 2.5 = 54.2%, under 2.5 = 45.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.90, variance V = 3.41, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.56, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 3.31, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.43, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 7.87, SD = 2.81, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

OFC. Nations Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
05-21-2022
16:16:13 UTC