Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 52, period of time : 11-23-2011 - 06-30-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 3.33, variance V = 6.42, SD = 2.53, E/V = 0.52, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 46.2%, draw = 19.2%, P2 = 34.6%, total 0 = 3.8%, over 2.5 = 53.8%, under 2.5 = 46.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.75, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.55, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 4.68, SD = 2.16, E/V = 0.34, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 9.36, SD = 3.06, E/V = 0.02, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)