Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 39, period of time : 11-23-2011 - 03-26-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 3.26, variance V = 6.77, SD = 2.60, E/V = 0.48, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 46.2%, draw = 23.1%, P2 = 30.8%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 48.7%, under 2.5 = 51.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.79, variance V = 3.69, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.49, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 3.99, SD = 2.00, E/V = 0.37, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 8.60, SD = 2.93, E/V = 0.04, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)