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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. OFC. Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 43, period of time : 06-14-2008 - 06-11-2016


Match total

Average per match E = 3.23, variance V = 5.94, SD = 2.44, E/V = 0.54, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 46.5%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 30.2%, total 0 = 4.7%, over 2.5 = 51.2%, under 2.5 = 48.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.84, variance V = 3.47, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.53, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 3.58, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.39, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

OFC. Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.44, variance V = 8.16, SD = 2.86, E/V = 0.05, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

OFC. Nations Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
12-05-2022
05:10:09 UTC