Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. World Championship Q

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 278, period of time : 06-08-2012 - 03-31-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.79, variance V = 4.33, SD = 2.08, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 13
P1 = 49.3%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 27.3%, total 0 = 9.0%, over 2.5 = 48.6%, under 2.5 = 51.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 2.69, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.60, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.38, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.44, variance V = 7.27, SD = 2.70, E/V = 0.06, Min = -13, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)