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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Nations League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 313, period of time : 09-05-2019 - 03-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.16, variance V = 3.59, SD = 1.90, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.6%, draw = 18.2%, P2 = 34.2%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 58.8%, under 2.5 = 41.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Nations League: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Nations League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.81, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Nations League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 2.00, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.67, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Nations League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 6.50, SD = 2.55, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Nations League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
19:21:38 UTC