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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Gold Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 221, period of time : 06-06-2007 - 08-02-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.76, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 52.9%, draw = 21.7%, P2 = 25.3%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 46.6%, under 2.5 = 53.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.75, variance V = 2.71, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.00, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.75, variance V = 4.94, SD = 2.22, E/V = 0.15, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
09:21:19 UTC