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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Gold Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 211, period of time : 06-05-2011 - 07-16-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 4.00, SD = 2.00, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 50.7%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 25.6%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 48.3%, under 2.5 = 51.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.79, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.71, variance V = 5.38, SD = 2.32, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-11-2024
09:19:34 UTC