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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Gold Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 236, period of time : 07-04-2009 - 07-16-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.84, variance V = 3.78, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 50.0%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 26.7%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 47.5%, under 2.5 = 52.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.76, variance V = 2.88, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.61, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.68, variance V = 5.38, SD = 2.32, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
11:23:11 UTC