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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Gold Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 196, period of time : 07-04-2009 - 08-02-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.79, variance V = 3.69, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 51.5%, draw = 21.9%, P2 = 26.5%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 45.4%, under 2.5 = 54.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.76, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.60, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.72, variance V = 5.30, SD = 2.30, E/V = 0.14, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
19:49:25 UTC