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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. CONCACAF League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 73, period of time : 09-25-2019 - 12-15-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 46.6%, draw = 27.4%, P2 = 26.0%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 46.6%, under 2.5 = 53.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 2.08, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.15, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 3.53, SD = 1.88, E/V = 0.14, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
05-17-2022
05:13:36 UTC