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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. CONCACAF League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 115, period of time : 09-25-2019 - 11-03-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 31.3%, P2 = 26.1%, total 0 = 11.3%, over 2.5 = 44.4%, under 2.5 = 55.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 2.30, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 3.92, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. CONCACAF League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
12-02-2022
20:22:34 UTC