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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 216, period of time : 09-28-2016 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 54.6%, draw = 22.2%, P2 = 23.2%, total 0 = 6.0%, over 2.5 = 57.9%, under 2.5 = 42.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.87, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.83, variance V = 4.69, SD = 2.17, E/V = 0.18, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-16-2026
17:35:18 UTC