Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 903, period of time : 09-05-2009 - 06-05-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 3.39, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.9%, draw = 20.7%, P2 = 34.4%, total 0 = 5.8%, over 2.5 = 51.0%, under 2.5 = 49.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 2.70, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.60, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 2.22, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 6.45, SD = 2.54, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)