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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Nations League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 302, period of time : 09-06-2018 - 11-18-2020


Match total

Average per match E = 2.32, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Nations League: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Nations League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Nations League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.98, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Nations League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 3.02, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Nations League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
08-06-2021
03:11:51 UTC