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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Women. UEFA. Europe Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 364, period of time : 07-16-2017 - 06-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.55, variance V = 6.09, SD = 2.47, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 48.4%, draw = 12.1%, P2 = 39.6%, total 0 = 4.4%, over 2.5 = 61.3%, under 2.5 = 38.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.91, variance V = 5.54, SD = 2.35, E/V = 0.35, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 4.64, SD = 2.15, E/V = 0.35, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 14.27, SD = 3.78, E/V = 0.02, Min = -13, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
06-17-2024
13:12:40 UTC