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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Women. UEFA. Europe Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 266, period of time : 07-16-2017 - 07-31-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.74, variance V = 7.12, SD = 2.67, E/V = 0.53, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 48.5%, draw = 11.3%, P2 = 40.2%, total 0 = 4.9%, over 2.5 = 62.4%, under 2.5 = 37.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.05, variance V = 6.79, SD = 2.61, E/V = 0.30, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.69, variance V = 5.44, SD = 2.33, E/V = 0.31, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 17.33, SD = 4.16, E/V = 0.02, Min = -13, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
10-06-2022
23:09:13 UTC