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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Women. UEFA. Europe Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 235, period of time : 07-16-2017 - 04-13-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.85, variance V = 7.53, SD = 2.74, E/V = 0.51, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 47.2%, draw = 9.4%, P2 = 43.4%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 64.3%, under 2.5 = 35.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.06, variance V = 7.25, SD = 2.69, E/V = 0.28, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.79, variance V = 5.89, SD = 2.43, E/V = 0.30, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 18.76, SD = 4.33, E/V = 0.01, Min = -13, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europe Championship. Women: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
05-26-2022
20:24:08 UTC