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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europe Championship U21

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 173, period of time : 06-11-2011 - 09-07-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 2.43, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.69, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 5.48, SD = 2.34, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
09-23-2021
15:51:25 UTC