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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europe Championship U21

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 270, period of time : 06-11-2011 - 11-16-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.93, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.0%, draw = 16.3%, P2 = 36.7%, total 0 = 4.4%, over 2.5 = 55.6%, under 2.5 = 44.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.66, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.95, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 6.59, SD = 2.57, E/V = 0.06, Min = -7, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europe Championship U21: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
01-18-2022
17:30:11 UTC