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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. ASEAN Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 80, period of time : 10-12-2014 - 12-15-2018


Match total

Average per match E = 3.20, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.89, variance V = 1.92, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.57, variance V = 3.72, SD = 1.93, E/V = 0.15, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

ASEAN Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
07-28-2021
17:25:13 UTC