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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. ASEAN Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 106, period of time : 10-12-2014 - 01-01-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.23, variance V = 3.28, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 51.9%, draw = 16.0%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 67.9%, under 2.5 = 32.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.83, variance V = 1.93, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 2.09, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.67, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

ASEAN Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.43, variance V = 4.76, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

ASEAN Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
09-26-2022
09:44:33 UTC