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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 525, period of time : 09-06-2008 - 06-13-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.91, variance V = 5.08, SD = 2.25, E/V = 0.57, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.77, variance V = 4.56, SD = 2.14, E/V = 0.39, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 2.44, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.47, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. World Championship. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.63, variance V = 8.91, SD = 2.99, E/V = 0.07, Min = -14, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. World Championship. Qualification: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
08-06-2021
04:29:41 UTC