Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 536, period of time : 10-11-2011 - 06-07-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.91, variance V = 4.98, SD = 2.23, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 15
P1 = 49.6%, draw = 18.5%, P2 = 31.9%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.77, variance V = 4.49, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.39, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.47, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.63, variance V = 8.81, SD = 2.97, E/V = 0.07, Min = -14, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)