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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1324, period of time : 04-15-2014 - 03-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 3.17, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 46.8%, draw = 24.8%, P2 = 28.4%, total 0 = 8.4%, over 2.5 = 53.6%, under 2.5 = 46.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 2.12, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 3.96, SD = 1.99, E/V = 0.11, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
04-16-2024
07:18:06 UTC