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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 132, period of time : 02-06-2013 - 03-27-2018


Match total

Average per match E = 3.06, variance V = 4.74, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.90, variance V = 4.49, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.42, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.74, variance V = 7.12, SD = 2.67, E/V = 0.10, Min = -4, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
07-28-2021
17:43:15 UTC