To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. Asia Cup. Qualification

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 132, period of time : 02-06-2013 - 03-27-2018

### Match total

Average per match E = 3.06, variance V = 4.74, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 49.2%, draw = 22.0%, P2 = 28.8%, total 0 = 9.1%, over 2.5 = 57.6%, under 2.5 = 42.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.90, variance V = 4.49, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.42, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.74, variance V = 7.12, SD = 2.67, E/V = 0.10, Min = -4, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Thursday
09-28-2023
11:38:20 UTC