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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. Asia Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 115, period of time : 01-07-2011 - 02-01-2019


Match total

Average per match E = 2.53, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 18.3%, P2 = 39.1%, total 0 = 7.8%, over 2.5 = 45.2%, under 2.5 = 54.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. Asia Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. Asia Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Asia Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.87, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. Asia Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.04, variance V = 4.34, SD = 2.08, E/V = -0.01, Min = -6, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. Asia Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
19:34:43 UTC