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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 49, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 04-19-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.20, variance V = 3.83, SD = 1.96, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 49.0%, draw = 16.3%, P2 = 34.7%, total 0 = 4.1%, over 2.5 = 57.1%, under 2.5 = 42.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.90, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 2.13, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.61, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.59, variance V = 5.45, SD = 2.34, E/V = 0.11, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. AFC Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-17-2022
04:59:33 UTC