Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 239, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 03-14-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 3.19, variance V = 4.08, SD = 2.02, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 50.2%, draw = 18.4%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 6.3%, over 2.5 = 61.1%, under 2.5 = 38.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.89, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.58, variance V = 4.83, SD = 2.20, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)