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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 111, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 10-22-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.09, variance V = 4.19, SD = 2.05, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.0%, draw = 19.8%, P2 = 34.2%, total 0 = 9.9%, over 2.5 = 56.8%, under 2.5 = 43.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.75, variance V = 2.52, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.86, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.41, variance V = 4.57, SD = 2.14, E/V = 0.09, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. AFC Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
01-29-2023
09:37:16 UTC