To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 210, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 11-30-2023

### Match total

Average per match E = 3.20, variance V = 4.07, SD = 2.02, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 50.0%, draw = 18.6%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 61.0%, under 2.5 = 39.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.88, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 4.80, SD = 2.19, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Monday
12-11-2023
09:40:12 UTC