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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. AFC. AFC Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 108, period of time : 05-14-2021 - 09-07-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.11, variance V = 4.21, SD = 2.05, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.3%, draw = 19.4%, P2 = 34.3%, total 0 = 9.3%, over 2.5 = 56.5%, under 2.5 = 43.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.76, variance V = 2.48, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.86, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

AFC. AFC Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.41, variance V = 4.47, SD = 2.11, E/V = 0.09, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

AFC. AFC Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
09-26-2022
09:56:08 UTC