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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Northern America. Leagues Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 12, period of time : 08-10-2021 - 09-23-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.00, variance V = 4.55, SD = 2.13, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 41.7%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 33.3%, total 0 = 8.3%, over 2.5 = 50.0%, under 2.5 = 50.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.17, SD = 1.08, E/V = 1.35, Min = 0, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 3.36, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.42, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 4.52, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.04, Min = -5, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
06-04-2023
07:23:47 UTC