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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Northern America. Leagues Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 89, period of time : 08-10-2021 - 08-20-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.22, variance V = 3.52, SD = 1.88, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 29.2%, P2 = 28.1%, total 0 = 5.6%, over 2.5 = 62.9%, under 2.5 = 37.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.89, variance V = 2.15, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 4.23, SD = 2.06, E/V = 0.13, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Northern America. Leagues Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
03-29-2024
04:52:01 UTC