Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 414, period of time : 06-01-2012 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.39, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.1%, draw = 27.8%, P2 = 24.2%, total 0 = 9.9%, over 2.5 = 40.8%, under 2.5 = 59.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.16, SD = 1.08, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 3.33, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.15, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)