Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. World Championship. Qualification

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 465, period of time : 06-06-2009 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.37, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.8%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 24.5%, total 0 = 9.7%, over 2.5 = 40.9%, under 2.5 = 59.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.77, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.93, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.51, variance V = 3.23, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.16, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)