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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. Champions League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 546, period of time : 11-29-2019 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.09, variance V = 2.45, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 49.5%, draw = 27.8%, P2 = 22.7%, total 0 = 14.5%, over 2.5 = 34.6%, under 2.5 = 65.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
CAF. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.75, variance V = 0.91, SD = 0.95, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CAF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.58, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.19, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CAF. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
05-27-2024
12:14:54 UTC