To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Cup

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 553, period of time : 01-10-2010 - 10-17-2023

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.21, variance V = 2.45, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 30.0%, P2 = 26.0%, total 0 = 11.4%, over 2.5 = 37.1%, under 2.5 = 62.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.23, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.12, Min = -10, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Wednesday
12-06-2023
10:56:54 UTC