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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 613, period of time : 01-10-2010 - 03-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.21, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.1%, draw = 31.2%, P2 = 25.8%, total 0 = 11.4%, over 2.5 = 37.0%, under 2.5 = 63.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CAF. African Nations Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CAF. African Nations Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CAF. African Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.19, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CAF. African Nations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 2.49, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.13, Min = -10, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CAF. African Nations Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
05-27-2024
12:32:51 UTC