To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Cup

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 497, period of time : 01-20-2008 - 06-13-2022

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.24, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 31.0%, P2 = 24.3%, total 0 = 11.9%, over 2.5 = 37.6%, under 2.5 = 62.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.13, Min = -10, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Wednesday
08-17-2022
22:34:06 UTC