Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 584, period of time : 01-21-2012 - 03-26-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.21, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.8%, draw = 31.0%, P2 = 26.2%, total 0 = 11.3%, over 2.5 = 36.8%, under 2.5 = 63.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.12, Min = -10, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)