Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 210, period of time : 01-11-2014 - 02-04-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.01, variance V = 2.69, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 39.5%, draw = 31.0%, P2 = 29.5%, total 0 = 18.1%, over 2.5 = 35.2%, under 2.5 = 64.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.87, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.37, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)