Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CAF. African Nations Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 128, period of time : 01-11-2014 - 02-07-2021

Match total

Average per match E = 2.05, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 32.8%, draw = 36.7%, P2 = 30.5%, total 0 = 18.8%, over 2.5 = 35.2%, under 2.5 = 64.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.93, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 2.10, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.09, Min = -5, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)