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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1920, period of time : 05-16-2014 - 05-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.53, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 40.6%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 33.6%, total 0 = 9.2%, over 2.5 = 45.8%, under 2.5 = 54.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukrainian football (soccer) championship - Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukrainian football (soccer) championship - Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukrainian football (soccer) championship - Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukrainian football (soccer) championship - Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.50, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.05, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukrainian football (soccer) championship - Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
05-17-2024
11:30:10 UTC