Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. World Championship Q

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 251, period of time : 10-07-2011 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.65, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 1.10, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 51.8%, draw = 24.3%, P2 = 23.9%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.67, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.98, variance V = 1.09, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.69, variance V = 3.18, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.22, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)