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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONCACAF. Gold Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 186, period of time : 07-07-2013 - 07-16-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.84, variance V = 3.92, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 51.1%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 25.3%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 48.4%, under 2.5 = 51.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.78, variance V = 2.99, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.06, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.72, variance V = 5.08, SD = 2.25, E/V = 0.14, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONCACAF. Gold Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
09-19-2026
11:24:29 UTC