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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Georgia. Erovnuli Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1343, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.70, variance V = 3.23, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 24.4%, P2 = 32.8%, total 0 = 10.4%, over 2.5 = 51.5%, under 2.5 = 48.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.93, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.89, SD = 1.97, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
10-13-2026
19:07:36 UTC