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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. France. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 432, period of time : 10-22-2016 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.80, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 36.3%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 38.4%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 52.3%, under 2.5 = 47.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

France. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
France. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.07, variance V = 3.60, SD = 1.90, E/V = -0.02, Min = -9, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

France. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
09-22-2026
05:58:34 UTC