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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belarus. Vysshaya Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1812, period of time : 09-25-2016 - 07-07-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.6%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 33.2%, total 0 = 9.1%, over 2.5 = 45.5%, under 2.5 = 54.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.19, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.41, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.05, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
09-28-2026
05:24:27 UTC