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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. NHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 12425, period of time : 01-19-2012 - 01-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 5.44, variance V = 5.20, SD = 2.28, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 15
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 23.5%, P2 = 33.9%, total 0 = 0.7%, over 2.5 = 90.5%, under 2.5 = 9.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. NHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. NHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.86, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.58, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 5.59, SD = 2.36, E/V = 0.05, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. NHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
01-27-2022
14:22:24 UTC