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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. NHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 10409, period of time : 10-12-2016 - 06-24-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.80, variance V = 5.47, SD = 2.34, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 42.4%, draw = 22.4%, P2 = 35.1%, total 0 = 0.4%, over 2.5 = 92.8%, under 2.5 = 7.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. NHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. NHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.03, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 6.28, SD = 2.51, E/V = 0.04, Min = -9, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. NHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:05:27 UTC