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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. NHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 12597, period of time : 01-19-2013 - 06-27-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 5.51, variance V = 5.27, SD = 2.30, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 23.1%, P2 = 34.2%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 91.0%, under 2.5 = 9.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. NHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. NHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.89, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.62, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. NHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 5.73, SD = 2.39, E/V = 0.05, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. NHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
08-12-2022
23:54:40 UTC