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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Poland. ExtraLiga (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1932, period of time : 09-23-2016 - 04-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.03, variance V = 7.76, SD = 2.79, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 18
P1 = 49.2%, draw = 16.1%, P2 = 34.7%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 91.6%, under 2.5 = 8.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poland. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Poland. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.29, variance V = 5.47, SD = 2.34, E/V = 0.60, Min = 0, Max = 16
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.74, variance V = 4.73, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 18
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.56, variance V = 12.65, SD = 3.56, E/V = 0.04, Min = -18, Max = 16
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Poland. ExtraLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:05:17 UTC