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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Switzerland. National League A (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3648, period of time : 02-28-2014 - 02-27-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.44, variance V = 5.05, SD = 2.25, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 15
P1 = 47.5%, draw = 20.8%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 0.2%, over 2.5 = 91.4%, under 2.5 = 8.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. National League A: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. National League A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.06, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. National League A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.48, variance V = 2.55, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. National League A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 6.17, SD = 2.48, E/V = 0.08, Min = -8, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. National League A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
03-02-2024
14:36:34 UTC