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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. World Championship. Division I (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 320, period of time : 04-15-2012 - 05-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.00, variance V = 7.01, SD = 2.65, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 49.7%, draw = 10.3%, P2 = 40.0%, total 0 = 0.3%, over 2.5 = 94.1%, under 2.5 = 5.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.23, variance V = 5.66, SD = 2.38, E/V = 0.57, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 4.79, SD = 2.19, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Division I: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 13.90, SD = 3.73, E/V = 0.03, Min = -11, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship. Division I: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
11-06-2026
06:11:48 UTC