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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. World Championship U20 (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 397, period of time : 12-26-2011 - 01-05-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.50, variance V = 8.13, SD = 2.85, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 18
P1 = 52.4%, draw = 15.4%, P2 = 32.2%, total 0 = 0.3%, over 2.5 = 94.0%, under 2.5 = 6.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship U20: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship U20: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.60, variance V = 6.63, SD = 2.57, E/V = 0.54, Min = 0, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.91, variance V = 5.94, SD = 2.44, E/V = 0.49, Min = 0, Max = 16
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.69, variance V = 17.01, SD = 4.12, E/V = 0.04, Min = -14, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship U20: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
10-13-2024
14:28:54 UTC