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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. IIHF. Champions League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 782, period of time : 10-04-2016 - 02-20-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.47, variance V = 5.51, SD = 2.35, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 47.1%, draw = 18.8%, P2 = 34.1%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 89.4%, under 2.5 = 10.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

IIHF. Champions League: Poisson and Total PDF
IIHF. Champions League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.95, variance V = 3.51, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

IIHF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.52, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

IIHF. Champions League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.43, variance V = 7.71, SD = 2.78, E/V = 0.06, Min = -10, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

IIHF. Champions League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-16-2026
18:51:38 UTC