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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. World Championship (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 862, period of time : 05-02-2008 - 05-29-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 5.54, variance V = 5.58, SD = 2.36, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 16
P1 = 51.2%, draw = 17.1%, P2 = 31.8%, total 0 = 0.2%, over 2.5 = 91.3%, under 2.5 = 8.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.12, variance V = 4.43, SD = 2.11, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 3.68, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.71, variance V = 10.64, SD = 3.26, E/V = 0.07, Min = -10, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ice Hockey World Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
03-24-2023
13:47:04 UTC