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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. World Championship (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 768, period of time : 05-04-2012 - 05-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.55, variance V = 5.70, SD = 2.39, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 16
P1 = 47.5%, draw = 17.2%, P2 = 35.3%, total 0 = 0.3%, over 2.5 = 90.8%, under 2.5 = 9.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.02, variance V = 4.36, SD = 2.09, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.53, variance V = 3.96, SD = 1.99, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ice Hockey World Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 10.94, SD = 3.31, E/V = 0.04, Min = -10, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ice Hockey World Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:06:55 UTC