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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Czech Republic. ExtraLiga (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4300, period of time : 12-03-2013 - 12-01-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 5.17, variance V = 5.10, SD = 2.26, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 16
P1 = 47.2%, draw = 21.1%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 89.2%, under 2.5 = 10.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 5.78, SD = 2.40, E/V = 0.08, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-03-2023
20:47:14 UTC