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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. AHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1656, period of time : 01-20-2021 - 06-25-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 5.96, variance V = 5.67, SD = 2.38, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 15
P1 = 43.1%, draw = 22.2%, P2 = 34.8%, total 0 = 0.3%, over 2.5 = 93.1%, under 2.5 = 6.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. AHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. AHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.11, variance V = 3.24, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. AHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.85, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. AHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 6.50, SD = 2.55, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. AHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
18:52:46 UTC