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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. USA. AHL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3691, period of time : 01-20-2021 - 03-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.95, variance V = 5.60, SD = 2.37, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 15
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 22.6%, P2 = 36.3%, total 0 = 0.4%, over 2.5 = 93.3%, under 2.5 = 6.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. AHL: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. AHL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.06, variance V = 3.16, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. AHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.89, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. AHL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 6.51, SD = 2.55, E/V = 0.03, Min = -9, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. AHL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
03-04-2024
04:30:03 UTC