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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Germany. DEL (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4000, period of time : 01-30-2013 - 01-29-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 5.57, variance V = 5.30, SD = 2.30, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 46.9%, draw = 20.4%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 91.6%, under 2.5 = 8.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. DEL: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. DEL: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.01, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. DEL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. DEL: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 6.20, SD = 2.49, E/V = 0.07, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. DEL: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
02-06-2023
12:12:00 UTC