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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Denmark. Super League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2041, period of time : 09-23-2016 - 04-23-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.77, variance V = 5.82, SD = 2.41, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 46.5%, draw = 20.1%, P2 = 33.4%, total 0 = 0.2%, over 2.5 = 92.2%, under 2.5 = 7.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.13, variance V = 3.69, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 7.64, SD = 2.76, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
09-28-2026
10:07:10 UTC