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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Denmark. Super League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2471, period of time : 02-12-2013 - 02-01-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 5.71, variance V = 5.99, SD = 2.45, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 18
P1 = 46.5%, draw = 19.4%, P2 = 34.0%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 91.4%, under 2.5 = 8.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.08, variance V = 3.78, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 3.18, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 7.92, SD = 2.81, E/V = 0.06, Min = -10, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
02-05-2023
07:49:50 UTC