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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Latvia. Hockey League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 373, period of time : 02-20-2021 - 09-27-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 7.17, variance V = 12.31, SD = 3.51, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 21
P1 = 41.0%, draw = 16.4%, P2 = 42.6%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 93.6%, under 2.5 = 6.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Latvia. Hockey League: Poisson and Total PDF
Latvia. Hockey League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.72, variance V = 10.41, SD = 3.23, E/V = 0.36, Min = 0, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 3.45, variance V = 7.53, SD = 2.74, E/V = 0.46, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 23.58, SD = 4.86, E/V = 0.01, Min = -15, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Latvia. Hockey League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
09-28-2023
11:00:10 UTC