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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Alps Hockey League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2802, period of time : 09-17-2016 - 02-29-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.16, variance V = 6.41, SD = 2.53, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 49.1%, draw = 16.3%, P2 = 34.6%, total 0 = 0.4%, over 2.5 = 93.8%, under 2.5 = 6.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total PDF
Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.34, variance V = 4.33, SD = 2.08, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 3.69, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.51, variance V = 9.62, SD = 3.10, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Alps Hockey League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
03-04-2024
17:20:19 UTC