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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Alps Hockey League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2058, period of time : 09-17-2016 - 01-22-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 6.17, variance V = 6.51, SD = 2.55, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 49.2%, draw = 15.3%, P2 = 35.5%, total 0 = 0.1%, over 2.5 = 94.3%, under 2.5 = 5.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total PDF
Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.33, variance V = 4.50, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.84, variance V = 3.79, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 10.07, SD = 3.17, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Alps Hockey League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
01-27-2022
13:54:05 UTC