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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Alps Hockey League (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2827, period of time : 09-21-2016 - 04-11-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.15, variance V = 6.36, SD = 2.52, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 17
P1 = 49.2%, draw = 16.5%, P2 = 34.3%, total 0 = 0.4%, over 2.5 = 93.8%, under 2.5 = 6.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total PDF
Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.33, variance V = 4.31, SD = 2.08, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 3.66, SD = 1.91, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Alps Hockey League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.52, variance V = 9.58, SD = 3.10, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 14
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Alps Hockey League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:08:18 UTC