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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Ukraine. ExtraLiga (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1042, period of time : 09-21-2016 - 03-29-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 6.86, variance V = 10.61, SD = 3.26, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 19
P1 = 46.1%, draw = 12.5%, P2 = 41.5%, total 0 = 0.7%, over 2.5 = 93.8%, under 2.5 = 6.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 3.58, variance V = 8.54, SD = 2.92, E/V = 0.42, Min = 0, Max = 18
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 3.27, variance V = 7.96, SD = 2.82, E/V = 0.41, Min = 0, Max = 19
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 22.40, SD = 4.73, E/V = 0.01, Min = -19, Max = 17
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. ExtraLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
10-19-2026
13:23:32 UTC