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Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey. Czech Republic. ExtraLiga (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3411, period of time : 09-20-2016 - 04-28-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 5.18, variance V = 5.03, SD = 2.24, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 16
P1 = 45.9%, draw = 22.2%, P2 = 32.0%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 89.3%, under 2.5 = 10.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.37, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 5.78, SD = 2.40, E/V = 0.08, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. ExtraLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
09-27-2026
19:36:38 UTC