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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1462, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.74, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 46.2%, draw = 23.9%, P2 = 29.9%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 51.4%, under 2.5 = 48.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 3.40, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.11, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
10-18-2026
00:02:33 UTC