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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1071, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 05-11-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 23.6%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 5.9%, over 2.5 = 55.4%, under 2.5 = 44.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 3.38, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
05-17-2024
12:15:24 UTC