Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 723, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 05-12-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.51, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 21.2%, P2 = 37.8%, total 0 = 6.2%, over 2.5 = 55.6%, under 2.5 = 44.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 2.30, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.67, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 2.00, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 5.09, SD = 2.26, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)