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Mathematical statistics of runs - Baseball. Japan. NPB

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3601, period of time : 10-05-2019 - 05-14-2024


Match total - runs

Average per match E = 7.34, variance V = 16.35, SD = 4.04, E/V = 0.45, Min = 0, Max = 25
P1 = 50.8%, draw = 5.5%, P2 = 43.8%, total 0 = 0.5%, over 2.5 = 91.6%, under 2.5 = 8.4%
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=5.97, p=0.45

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total PDF
Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total CDF

Home team runs

Average per match E = 3.72, variance V = 7.60, SD = 2.76, E/V = 0.49, Min = 0, Max = 18
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=3.55, p=0.49

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total 1 PDF

Away team runs

Average per match E = 3.62, variance V = 8.37, SD = 2.89, E/V = 0.43, Min = 0, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=2.76, p=0.43

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total 2 PDF

Runs difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 15.60, SD = 3.95, E/V = 0.01, Min = -16, Max = 16
Basic random variable ~ Normal (Gauss) distribution: N(E, V)

Japan. NPB: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
10-25-2026
14:29:07 UTC