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Mathematical statistics of runs - Baseball. Japan. NPB

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2771, period of time : 10-05-2019 - 10-30-2022


Match total - runs

Average per match E = 7.57, variance V = 17.11, SD = 4.14, E/V = 0.44, Min = 0, Max = 25
P1 = 50.1%, draw = 7.1%, P2 = 42.8%, total 0 = 0.4%, over 2.5 = 92.3%, under 2.5 = 7.7%
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=6.00, p=0.44

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total PDF
Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total CDF

Home team runs

Average per match E = 3.85, variance V = 7.97, SD = 2.82, E/V = 0.48, Min = 0, Max = 18
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=3.60, p=0.48

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total 1 PDF

Away team runs

Average per match E = 3.72, variance V = 8.78, SD = 2.96, E/V = 0.42, Min = 0, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Negative Binomial (Pascal) distribution: NB(r, p), r=2.73, p=0.42

Japan. NPB: Pascal and Total 2 PDF

Runs difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 16.39, SD = 4.05, E/V = 0.01, Min = -16, Max = 16
Basic random variable ~ Normal (Gauss) distribution: N(E, V)

Japan. NPB: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
02-08-2023
23:58:29 UTC