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Betting odds and probabilities calculation of a tennis match

On this page, you can calculate all the main betting odds of a tennis match, the calculation is based on a clear mathematical model (combinatorics, random variables, Markov chains) for tennis matches. For calculations, you must enter the values of the basic odds - Win-1 and Win-2 per match (or set), or the probabilities (in percent) of players winning their game.

Match parameters - basic probabilities
Match win 1	Match win 2	Set win 1	Set win 2	Game win 1	Game win 2	Margin, %



Match format:	2 Sets	3 Sets	First serve:	Player 1	Player 2	Unknown
Score:

Game win - the probability of player his own game win on match start (= 50 + [service games won (player stats) - return games won (rival stats)]/2) or average probability (*) of the game win

Target margins for the betting markets
Match Result	Asian Handicap	Over / Under	-	-	Match Score	Set Score

Asian Handicap (H)
	-6	-5.5	-5	-4.5	-4	-3.5	-3	-2.5	-2
W1 ( H), %	19.9	30.7	30.7	41.8	41.8	51.7	51.7	58.3	58.3
Coef	4.23	3.09	2.73	2.27	2.04	1.84	1.71	1.63	1.56
Tie (H), %	10.8		11.0		9.9		6.6		4.0
Coef	7.80		7.60		8.60		13		23
W2 (-H), %	69.3	69.3	58.3	58.2	48.3	48.3	41.7	41.7	37.7
Coef	1.21	1.37	1.44	1.63	1.76	1.97	2.12	2.28	2.41

Over / Under
	19	19.5	20	20.5	21	21.5	22	22.5	23
Over, %	60.0	60.0	52.4	52.4	46.5	46.5	39.3	39.3	34.8
Coef	1.43	1.58	1.67	1.81	1.92	2.04	2.24	2.42	2.60
Equal, %	9.2		7.6		5.9		7.2		4.5
Coef	9.30		12		15		12		20
Under, %	30.8	40.0	40.0	47.6	47.6	53.5	53.5	60.7	60.7
Coef	2.78	2.38	2.18	2.00	1.87	1.78	1.64	1.57	1.49

Match Score
	2:0	2:1	1:2	0:2
%	48	18.1	14.2	19.8
Coef	1.87	4.99	6.40	4.55

Set Score
	6:0	6:1	6:2	6:3	6:4	7:5	7:6
%	2	7	11.2	15.2	14.8	5.8	8.1
Coef	38	11	6.70	4.92	5.10	13	9.30
	0:6	1:6	2:6	3:6	4:6	5:7	6:7
%	0.5	2.3	4.5	8.3	9.5	3.8	7
Coef		32	17	9.10	7.90	20	11

Page time:

Friday
10-04-2024
06:09:41 UTC