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# Betting odds and probabilities calculation of a football (soccer) match(calculation of the odds without restrictions is available only to subscribers)

The betting odds and probabilities calculation is based on the methods of mathematical statistics (see SPORTS and MATHEMATICS), the basic random variables have the distribution of Poisson or Skellam.

Match parameters - Team goals estimate or basic odds (1X2 [+ O/U])
Goals 1Goals 2Win 1DrawWin 2Margin, %
Goals SumGoals DiffTotalOverUnderMargin, %
Match Score1st Half2nd HalfExtra TimePlayed MinutesMatch Status
Formulas for approximate estimate of teams goals in a match are as follows: Goals_1 = [team_1 attack (home average) + team_2 defense (away average)] / 2, Goals_2 = [team_2 attack (away average)) + team_1 defense (home average)] / 2
Target margins for the betting markets
Match Result Asian Handicap Over / Under Exact Goals Correct Score HT / FT

Asian Handicap (H) - probabilities, %
H-2-1.75-1.5-1.25-1-0.75-0.5-0.250+0.25+0.5+0.75+1+1.25+1.5+1.75+2
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)
Half 1
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)
Half 2
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)
Asian Handicap (H) - odds
H-2-1.75-1.5-1.25-1-0.75-0.5-0.250+0.25+0.5+0.75+1+1.25+1.5+1.75+2
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)
Half 1
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)
Half 2
W1 ( H)
Tie (H)
W2 (-H)

Goals Over / Under - probabilities, %
00.250.50.7511.251.51.7522.252.52.7533.253.53.754
Over
Equal
Under
Goals of Team 1
Over
Equal
Under
Goals of Team 2
Over
Equal
Under
Goals in Half 1
Over
Equal
Under
Goals in Half 2
Over
Equal
Under
Goals Over / Under - odds
00.250.50.7511.251.51.7522.252.52.7533.253.53.754
Over
Equal
Under
Goals of Team 1
Over
Equal
Under
Goals of Team 2
Over
Equal
Under
Goals in Half 1
Over
Equal
Under
Goals in Half 2
Over
Equal
Under

Goal - Interval - probabilities, odds
Interval 1Probability, % / OddsInterval 2Probability, % / OddsNo goal
Goal 11 - 96 / 97 - 90+100.0 / /
Goal 21 - 96 / 97 - 90+100.0 / /
Last
goal
1 - 96 / 97 - 90+100.0 / /

Correct Score - probabilities, %
1:02:02:13:03:13:24:04:15:0

0:01:12:23:34:45:5other

0:10:21:20:31:32:30:41:40:5

Correct Score - odds
1:02:02:13:03:13:24:04:15:0

0:01:12:23:34:45:5other

0:10:21:20:31:32:30:41:40:5

Half Time / Full Time - probabilities, %
1/11/X1/2X/1X/XX/22/12/X2/2

Half Time / Full Time - odds
1/11/X1/2X/1X/XX/22/12/X2/2

Page time:

Monday
09-09-2024
19:23:56 UTC